Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.184343 0.211714 0.242818 0.281000 0.326908 0.380706 0.449076
2025-06-22 0.139257 0.173622 0.216953 0.276520 0.357746 0.466853 0.628412
2025-06-29 0.115255 0.152520 0.203267 0.279371 0.394150 0.567017 0.860079
2025-07-06 0.097614 0.135079 0.189174 0.276020 0.418139 0.653805 1.103978
2025-07-13 0.086971 0.125041 0.182872 0.281507 0.455398 0.771157 1.449657
2025-07-20 0.078984 0.117363 0.178296 0.287973 0.494930 0.904288 1.891799
2025-07-27 0.072467 0.110830 0.174162 0.293821 0.534211 1.049906 2.444895
2025-08-03 0.067423 0.105874 0.171683 0.301819 0.579475 1.224869 3.189527
2025-08-10 0.062388 0.100208 0.166983 0.304415 0.613853 1.388174 4.027800
2025-08-17 0.057851 0.094813 0.161921 0.305160 0.644186 1.554193 5.024511
2025-08-24 0.053599 0.089415 0.156074 0.303072 0.667202 1.710756 6.148511
2025-08-31 0.049602 0.084043 0.149555 0.298289 0.682217 1.851257 7.371720
2025-09-07 0.047324 0.081718 0.148911 0.307072 0.737115 2.153268 9.857118
2025-09-14 0.043891 0.076839 0.142478 0.301156 0.749772 2.318831 11.884238
2025-09-21 0.041594 0.073952 0.139851 0.304082 0.789853 2.614553 15.425095
2025-09-28 0.038992 0.070200 0.134916 0.300298 0.808336 2.837061 19.006606
2025-10-05 0.037385 0.068313 0.133830 0.306374 0.861353 3.252875 25.761945
2025-10-12 0.035986 0.066713 0.133187 0.313552 0.921224 3.754786 35.782917
2025-10-19 0.034647 0.065113 0.132343 0.320052 0.981651 4.319986 50.201512
2025-10-26 0.033548 0.063921 0.132313 0.328947 1.055390 5.044736 73.734922
2025-11-02 0.032183 0.062030 0.130381 0.331835 1.106786 5.692964 103.550015
2025-11-09 0.030814 0.060012 0.127915 0.332664 1.150509 6.348923 144.607025
2025-11-16 0.029390 0.057760 0.124628 0.330340 1.180040 6.944336 197.176891